Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elina SvitolinaMadrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
#122WTA
1726ELO
1655Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#8WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Sasnovich A.
6-4 7-5
Svitolina E.
Sasnovich A.
672
Svitolina E.
450

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Elina Svitolina 6-4 7-5 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Aliaksandra Sasnovich narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassElina Svitolina6-2 6-4
2018-12-31BrisbaneR16hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-4 0-6 6-3
2018-01-01BrisbaneFhardElina Svitolina6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 147). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
90
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
93
Break points won·Slight edge
93
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
8.2+340 Clay Elo edge
1.6Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
8.4Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw