Sumit Nagal vs Francesco MaestrelliRome CH Round of 32

Rome CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#241ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Nagal S.
6-2 6-4
Maestrelli F.
Nagal S.
662
Maestrelli F.
240

Sumit Nagal defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-2 6-4 in the Rome CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #149, but Sumit Nagal had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nagal S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
69
83
Break points won·Clear edge
35
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
83
Tiebreaks·Even
84
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+71 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1466
3.9Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
5.1
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
97

Nagal S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Maestrelli F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast