Veronika Kudermetova vs Daria KasatkinaMadrid Round of 16

Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
#115WTA
1836ELO
1765Clay ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Kudermetova V.
7-5 1-6 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Kudermetova V.
71772
Kasatkina D.
56621

Veronika Kudermetova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 1-6 7-6 in the Madrid round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Veronika Kudermetova claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayDaria Kasatkina6-4 7-6(5)
2021-03-15St. PetersburgQFhardDaria Kasatkina1-6 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kudermetova V.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kudermetova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (158 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
80
Break points won·Clear edge
85
100
Deciding sets·Even
91
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1765
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1836
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw