Anna Kalinskaya vs Elena RybakinaMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#20WTA
1907ELO
1804Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Kalinskaya A.
7-5 4-6 6-2
Rybakina E.
Kalinskaya A.
7462
Rybakina E.
5621

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 4-6 6-2 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16, but Anna Kalinskaya had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay. Anna Kalinskaya claimed a first win over Elena Rybakina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Kalinskaya closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassElena Rybakina6-3 3-0 RET
2023-05-08RomeR32clayElena Rybakina4-3 RET
2023-03-20MiamiR64hardElena Rybakina7-5 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinskaya A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kalinskaya A.Rybakina E.
Serve
100
Return
9

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
98
Break points won·Even
97
96
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.4Clay Elo 1804
Surface ELO
8.6+197 Clay Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.5
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
89

Kalinskaya A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw