Magdalena Frech vs Jasmine Paolini — Madrid Round of 128

Madrid · WTA · Round of 128
Magdalena Frech
POL
Magdalena Frech
#44WTA
1725ELO
1648Clay ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Frech M.
6-2 6-3
Paolini J.
Frech M.
662
Paolini J.
230

Magdalena Frech defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the Madrid round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Magdalena Frech had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay. Magdalena Frech claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR64hardJasmine Paolini6-2 6-3
2023-08-21ClevelandR32hardJasmine Paolini6-1 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Frech M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Frech M.Paolini J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Frech M.Paolini J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
87
Break points won·Dominant
71
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Frech M.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Paolini J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1648
Surface ELO
7.7+209 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1725
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.7
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Frech M.Paolini J.
Freshness·Clear edge
98
76

Frech M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[2]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[9]
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Kudermetova V.[12]
6-16-1
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Martic P.[27]
6-06-3
Kudermetova V.[12]
Pegula J.[3]
6-40-66-4
Sakkari M.[9]
Begu I.[31]
6-736-46-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sherif M.
2-66-26-1
R16
Pegula J.[3]
Trevisan M.[18]
6-32-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Alexandrova E.[16]
6-46-736-3
Martic P.[27]
Krejcikova B.[11]
6-37-61
Kudermetova V.[12]
Kasatkina D.[8]
7-51-67-62
Sakkari M.[9]
Badosa P.[26]
6-46-4
Sherif M.
Mertens E.[24]
6-40-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Andreeva M.
6-36-1
Begu I.[31]
Samsonova L.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alexandrova E.[16]
Zheng Q.[22]
5-76-46-2
Sakkari M.[9]
Masarova R.
3-66-36-3
Trevisan M.[18]
Parks A.
7-636-1
Andreeva M.
Linette M.[17]
6-36-3
Begu I.[31]
Rogers S.[33]
7-56-2
Krejcikova B.[11]
Wang X.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[2]
Osorio C.
6-47-5
Sherif M.
Garcia C.[5]
7-626-3
Martic P.[27]
Kalinskaya A.
6-34-66-3
Pegula J.[3]
Bouzkova M.[29]
6-47-62
Kasatkina D.[8]
Tsurenko L.
6-46-2
Samsonova L.[14]
Ostapenko J.[19]
6-26-0
Mertens E.[24]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Pera B.[28]
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.[12]
Potapova A.[21]
7-635-76-3
Badosa P.[26]
Gauff C.[6]
6-36-0
R64
Pera B.[28]
Maria T.
6-16-3
Krejcikova B.[11]
Kovinic D.
6-34-66-0
Kalinskaya A.
Rybakina E.[7]
7-54-66-2
Trevisan M.[18]
Bouchard E.
6-27-5
Kudermetova V.[12]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-34-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Teichmann J.[25]
3-66-26-4
Badosa P.[26]
Cocciaretto E.
6-34-66-4
Begu I.[31]
Muchova K.
6-47-5
Rogers S.[33]
Bogdan A.
6-26-2
Osorio C.
Kostyuk M.[32]
3-66-46-3
Mertens E.[24]
Marino R.
6-36-1
Garcia C.[5]
Putintseva Y.
6-36-4
Andreeva M.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
7-666-3
Parks A.
Azarenka V.[15]
6-27-65
Zheng Q.[22]
Mcnally C.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[2]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Grabher J.
6-36-2
Wang X.
Andreescu B.[23]
3-67-656-2
Martic P.[27]
Siegemund L.
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Rus A.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Kvitova P.[10]
7-696-1
Linette M.[17]
Vondrousova M.
7-614-66-4
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[20]
6-17-65
Gauff C.[6]
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-46-1
Samsonova L.[14]
Zanevska M.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[19]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-3
Pegula J.[3]
Frech M.
7-656-3
Potapova A.[21]
Cristian J.
7-53-66-2
Sherif M.
Kalinina A.[30]
6-27-63
Alexandrova E.[16]
Cornet A.
7-626-3
Bouzkova M.[29]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-746-3
R128
Grabher J.
Tomova V.
6-17-65
Mcnally C.
Galfi D.
4-66-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-66-46-4
Bouchard E.
Yastremska D.
6-766-26-2
Masarova R.
Bucsa C.
6-35-76-4
Rus A.
Anisimova A.
7-56-2
Muchova K.
Kontaveit A.
6-26-2
Putintseva Y.
Liu C.
6-46-4
Niemeier J.
Wang X.
6-46-2
Maria T.
Eala A.
6-16-1
Siegemund L.
Podoroska N.
3-66-36-3
Cirstea S.
Davis L.
6-33-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Wang X.
Gracheva V.
6-726-36-4
Sasnovich A.
Svitolina E.
6-47-5
Marino R.
Zhu L.
7-616-4
Parks A.
Schmiedlova A.
6-26-756-2
Osorio C.
Burel C.
6-36-4
Cornet A.
Ruse E.
6-766-46-3
Bogdan A.
Bondar A.
4-66-47-62
Frech M.
Paolini J.
6-26-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Tsurenko L.
Bronzetti L.
6-16-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-757-67
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Kanepi K.
6-756-26-4
Cocciaretto E.
Strycova B.
6-37-65
Andreeva M.
Fernandez L.
6-36-4
Vondrousova M.
Bassols Ribera M.
6-16-3
Sherif M.
Giorgi C.
4-66-4
Kovinic D.
Errani S.
6-46-0
Zanevska M.
Kenin S.
6-06-3
Cristian J.
Stephens S.
5-76-46-4