Jesper De Jong vs Flavio CobolliRome CH Semi-final

Rome CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#9ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
De Jong J.
7-5 6-3
Cobolli F.
De Jong J.
762
Cobolli F.
530

Jesper De Jong defeated Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-3 in the Rome CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, defending last year's semi-final. Jesper De Jong extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-27MontpellierR16hardJesper De Jong6-3 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
De Jong J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

De Jong J.Cobolli F.
Serve
53
Return
56

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Even
37
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
69
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1696
Surface ELO
7.8+167 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1896
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
5.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
Context
7.0
Defending pts
8.5
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
71

De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast