Andrey Rublev vs Alex MolcanBanja Luka Semi-final

Banja Luka · ATP · Semi-final
#16ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 April 2023
clay
#101ATP
1742ELO
1712Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Rublev A.
6-2 6-4
Molcan A.
Rublev A.
662
Molcan A.
240

Andrey Rublev defeated Alex Molcan 6-2 6-4 in the Banja Luka semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Molcan A.
13
Serve
64
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 144). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Even
92
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.7+161 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1712
6.9Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1742
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.5
Surface form
6.0
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Rublev A.: 15 days rest · Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast