Marko Topo vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Munich Qualifying Round 1

Munich · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
GER
Marko Topo
#374ATP
1463ELO
1399Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 April 2023
clay
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN7
Shintaro Mochizuki
#115ATP
1475ELO
1433Clay ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Topo M.
6-3 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Topo M.
662
Mochizuki S.
340

Marko Topo defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-4 in the Munich qualifying round 1 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

  • Match story: Marko Topo closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Topo M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Topo M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Topo M.Mochizuki S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Topo M.Mochizuki S.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
28
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
74
Break points won·Dominant
4
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Topo M.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Mochizuki S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1399
Surface ELO
5.5+34 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1463
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Topo M.Mochizuki S.
Freshness·Slight edge
75
83

Topo M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
10°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 79%
Q2
Ritschard A.[6]
Bonadio R.[3]
W/O
Cobolli F.[5]
Kolar Z.[4]
6-26-2
Topo M.
Kopriva V.[2]
6-44-66-3
Karatsev A.[1]
Wessels L.
6-26-2
Q1
Wessels L.
Masur D.[8]
6-33-66-3
Bonadio R.[3]
Florig P.
5-76-36-3
Kolar Z.[4]
Durasovic V.
6-46-756-3
Ritschard A.[6]
Vatutin A.
5-76-47-5
Karatsev A.[1]
Haase R.
6-23-66-0
Cobolli F.[5]
Rosol L.
6-16-2
Kopriva V.[2]
Lopez San Martin A.
6-736-37-63
Topo M.
Mochizuki S.[7]
6-36-4