Jan Lennard Struff vs Juan Pablo VarillasMonte Carlo Masters Qualifying Round 1

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#41ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Struff J.
7-5 6-2
Varillas J.
Struff J.
762
Varillas J.
520

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5 6-2 in the Monte Carlo Masters qualifying round 1 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jan Lennard Struff extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-06Davis Cup QLS R1: GER vs PERRRhardJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (191 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
99
80
Break points won·Clear edge
21
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
68
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+228 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1431
7.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1440
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
4.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
55

Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%