Aleksandar Vukic vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSarasota CH Round of 16

Sarasota CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#113ATP
1630ELO
1516Clay ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Vukic A.
7-6 6-0
Ugo Carabelli C.
Vukic A.
7862
Ugo Carabelli C.
6600

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-6 6-0 in the Sarasota CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve advantage — Ugo Carabelli C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Vukic A.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Dominant
16
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1516
Surface ELO
8.2+225 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
100

Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast