Alejandro Moro Canas vs Timofey SkatovMadrid CH Round of 32

Madrid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#227ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#163ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
Moro Canas A.
6-3 6-3
Skatov T.
Moro Canas A.
662
Skatov T.
330

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Timofey Skatov 6-3 6-3 in the Madrid CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Timofey Skatov came in ranked #163, defending last year's round of 32, but Alejandro Moro Canas had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
29
Break points saved·Even
82
81
Break points won·Slight edge
35
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
20
28
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
7
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
5.0+48 Clay Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1544
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
6.7
Fatigue & Travel
4.1
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
59

Moro Canas A.: 19 days rest · Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast