Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco CerundoloMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Berrettini M.
5-7 7-6 6-4
Cerundolo F.
Berrettini M.
57762
Cerundolo F.
76141

Matteo Berrettini defeated Francisco Cerundolo 5-7 7-6 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, but Matteo Berrettini had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Berrettini M.Cerundolo F.
51
Serve
23
34
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (131 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
53
86
Deciding sets·Even
91
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1790
Surface ELO
6.1+78 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%