Marco Cecchinato vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaEstoril Quarter-final

Estoril · ATP · Quarter-final
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 April 2023
clay
#20ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Cecchinato M.
7-5 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Cecchinato M.
7772
Davidovich Fokina A.
5650

Marco Cecchinato defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-5 7-6 in the Estoril quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cecchinato M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Serve advantage — Davidovich Fokina A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
91
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
99
Break points won·Dominant
20
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1546
Surface ELO
8.5+267 Clay Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1893
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.9
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
79

Cecchinato M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast