Marco Cecchinato vs Fabio FogniniEstoril Round of 16

Estoril · ATP · Round of 16
#175ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$149kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 April 2023
clay
39 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
Cecchinato M.
4-6 6-3 6-3
Fognini F.
Cecchinato M.
4662
Fognini F.
6331

Marco Cecchinato defeated Fabio Fognini 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the Estoril round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Fabio Fognini came in leading the head-to-head 3–1, but Marco Cecchinato had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Marco Cecchinato narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-18BelgradeR32hardFabio Fognini6-7(5) 6-2 6-2
2018-04-30MunichR32clayMarco Cecchinato5-7 6-3 6-2
2017-02-27Sao PauloR32clayFabio Fognini6-4 7-6(4)
2013-05-19NiceR32clayFabio Fognini1-6 6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Cecchinato M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Fognini F.

Fognini F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Cecchinato M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 133). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
87
Break points saved·Even
89
93
Break points won·Dominant
20
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
2.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
69

Cecchinato M.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast