Carol Zhao vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Bogota Round of 32

Bogota · WTA · Round of 32
Carol Zhao
CAN
Carol Zhao
#547WTA
1390ELO
1295Clay ELO
31 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 April 2023
clay
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Zhao C.
4-6 7-5 7-6
Carle M.
Zhao C.
47782
Carle M.
65661

Carol Zhao defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 4-6 7-5 7-6 in the Bogota round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Lourdes Carle came in ranked #218, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhao C.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Zhao C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Zhao C.Carle M.
1st serve in·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
39%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
0.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (99 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zhao C.Carle M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
10
27
Break points saved·Slight edge
19
26
Break points won·Dominant
63
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
55
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zhao C.
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 203 days (−1.5)
Carle M.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 91 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1295
Surface ELO
7.1+166 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zhao C.Carle M.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
88

Zhao C.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Carle M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Maria T.[2]
Stearns P.
6-32-66-4
Semi-finals
Stearns P.
Rakhimova K.[4]
3-66-26-2
Maria T.[2]
Jones F.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Stearns P.
Zidansek T.
6-32-66-2
Rakhimova K.[4]
Sorribes Tormo S.[7]
6-47-5
Maria T.[2]
Brancaccio N.
6-36-2
Jones F.
Pigossi L.[6]
6-46-2
R16
Zidansek T.
Bjorklund M.
7-637-63
Stearns P.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-1
Maria T.[2]
Alves C.
6-26-4
Pigossi L.[6]
Stevanovic N.
7-55-76-4
Rakhimova K.[4]
Bouchard E.
6-06-776-4
Sorribes Tormo S.[7]
Arango E.
6-46-3
Brancaccio N.
Kraus S.
6-26-2
Jones F.
Zhao C.
6-26-1
R32
Kraus S.
Podoroska N.[8]
6-47-64
Avanesyan E.
Errani S.[5]
6-16-0
Bjorklund M.
Mertens E.[1]
6-14-67-63
Rakhimova K.[4]
Serban R.
7-636-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[7]
Bolsova A.
6-06-4
Arango E.
Tan H.
7-53-1
Alves C.
Yastremska D.
4-67-656-2
Zhao C.
Carle M.
4-67-57-66
Brancaccio N.
Papamichail D.
6-26-2
Maria T.[2]
Scott K.
6-16-4
Pigossi L.[6]
Samudio A.
6-16-0
Bouchard E.
In Albon Y.
6-36-2
Zidansek T.
Jani R.
6-06-1
Jones F.
Parrizas Diaz N.[3]
7-636-1
Stearns P.
Vicens Mas R.
6-36-1
Stevanovic N.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-617-5