Carolina Alves vs Dayana YastremskaBogota Round of 32

Bogota · WTA · Round of 32
#348WTA
1280ELO
1265Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 April 2023
clay
#74WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Alves C.
4-6 7-6 6-2
Yastremska D.
Alves C.
47762
Yastremska D.
66521

Carolina Alves defeated Dayana Yastremska 4-6 7-6 6-2 in the Bogota round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Dayana Yastremska came in ranked #74, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alves C.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Alves C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alves C.Yastremska D.
Serve
10
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
77
Break points saved·Dominant
9
89
Break points won·Clear edge
72
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
40
63
Tiebreaks·
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 259 days (−1.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1265
Surface ELO
10.0+466 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1280
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 1792
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Yastremska D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast