Luca Van Assche vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Sanremo CH Final

Sanremo CH · CHALLENGER · Final
Luca Van Assche
FRA5
Luca Van Assche
#86ATP
1701ELO
1639Clay ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 March 2023
clay
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER1
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Van Assche L.
6-1 6-3
Varillas J.
Van Assche L.
662
Varillas J.
130

Luca Van Assche defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-1 6-3 in the Sanremo CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #86.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Van Assche L.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Van Assche L.Varillas J.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Van Assche L.Varillas J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
80
Break points won·Clear edge
61
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Van Assche L.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Varillas J.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+208 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1431
7.9Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.4
Surface form
5.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Van Assche L.Varillas J.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
62

Van Assche L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Van Assche L.[5]
Varillas J.[1]
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Varillas J.[1]
Coppejans K.
6-36-4
Van Assche L.[5]
Kopriva V.
7-646-2
Quarter-finals
Kopriva V.
Mager G.
6-46-3
Van Assche L.[5]
Muller A.
6-26-1
Coppejans K.
Piros Z.
6-16-727-64
Varillas J.[1]
Vavassori A.
3-66-36-4
R16
Muller A.
Shevchenko A.[3]
7-56-2
Coppejans K.
Ofner S.
6-47-5
Varillas J.[1]
Pellegrino A.
6-41-66-1
Van Assche L.[5]
Fonio G.
6-36-3
Kopriva V.
Cobolli F.
6-36-1
Mager G.
Zeppieri G.[8]
7-646-3
Piros Z.
Kovalik J.
6-37-66
Vavassori A.
Lavagno E.
7-57-65
R32
Vavassori A.
Kotov P.[7]
4-67-54-0
Piros Z.
Arnaldi M.[6]
6-37-63
Fonio G.
Ferrari G.
6-17-62
Shevchenko A.[3]
Tseng C.
6-36-3
Varillas J.[1]
Arnaboldi F.
6-47-61
Ofner S.
Guinard M.
6-26-3
Kopriva V.
Cecchinato M.[2]
6-46-4
Cobolli F.
Maestrelli F.
6-46-4
Mager G.
Nardi L.
6-46-4
Zeppieri G.[8]
Giannessi A.
6-16-1
Muller A.
Uchida K.
1-66-36-3
Van Assche L.[5]
Peniston R.
2-66-36-2
Kovalik J.
Harris B.
6-26-1
Coppejans K.
Karatsev A.[4]
5-76-26-3
Lavagno E.
Vacherot V.
6-36-3
Pellegrino A.
Gigante M.
7-676-4