Frances Tiafoe vs Yosuke WatanukiMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#305ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLLLLW
Tiafoe F.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Watanuki Y.
Tiafoe F.
657762
Watanuki Y.
776341

Frances Tiafoe defeated Yosuke Watanuki 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 16. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe1-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR32hardYosuke Watanuki6-4 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Watanuki Y.
38
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.0
9.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 150). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
89
Break points won·Dominant
57
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
61
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+331 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1531
8.6Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1541
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.7
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.1
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
91

Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Watanuki Y.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%