Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Matteo BerrettiniMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#43ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Mcdonald M.
7-6 7-6
Berrettini M.
Mcdonald M.
710772
Berrettini M.
68650

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Matteo Berrettini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesSFhardMatteo Berrettini3-6 7-6(2) 6-3
2019-01-07AucklandR32hardMatteo Berrettini6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Berrettini M.
25
Serve
57
10
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
9.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
81
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Clear edge
66
53
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
7.2+193 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1831
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.9
Country comfort
4.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
80

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%