Lukas Klein vs Matteo ArnaldiMiami Masters Qualifying Round 1

Miami Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#185ATP
1601ELO
1535Hard ELO
$64kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Klein L.
6-4 4-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Klein L.
6462
Arnaldi M.
4641

Lukas Klein defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the Miami Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Lukas Klein claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Lukas Klein edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-01BrisbaneR16hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Klein L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Klein L.

Serve advantage — Klein L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Klein L.Arnaldi M.
Serve
23
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 195). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
97
Break points won·Dominant
1
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
31
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1535
Surface ELO
6.9+197 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1601
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.7
Surface form
3.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%