Aleksandar Vukic vs Matteo ArnaldiPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 March 2023
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Vukic A.
6-2 4-6 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Vukic A.
6462
Arnaldi M.
2631

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 4-6 6-3 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aleksandar Vukic claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-27BeijingQ2hardMatteo Arnaldi6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Arnaldi M.
22
Serve
23
5
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
78
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
16
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
6.3+135 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.5
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.5
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
97

Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast