Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Pliskova — Indian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
Maria Sakkari
GRE7
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Karolina Pliskova
CZE17
Karolina Pliskova
#73WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Sakkari M.
6-4 5-7 6-3
Pliskova K.
Sakkari M.
6562
Pliskova K.
4731

Maria Sakkari defeated Karolina Pliskova 6-4 5-7 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Pliskova came in leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 64. Maria Sakkari narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Maria Sakkari closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

2–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayKarolina Pliskova6-4 7-6(6)
2023-04-17StuttgartR32clayKarolina Pliskova6-2 6-3
2023-02-20DubaiR32hardKarolina Pliskova6-1 6-2
2022-08-08TorontoR16hardKarolina Pliskova6-1 6-7(9) 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenQFhardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-4
2019-05-13RomeSFclayKarolina Pliskova6-4 6-4
2018-05-14RomeR32clayMaria Sakkari3-6 6-3 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pliskova K.

Pliskova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Pliskova K.
24
Serve
—
39
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sakkari M.Pliskova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sakkari M.Pliskova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
87
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Even
87
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakkari M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Pliskova K.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
4.9+15 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1869
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
6.2
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sakkari M.Pliskova K.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Sakkari M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[10]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-6116-4
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[10]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-26-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[7]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[7]
Kvitova P.[15]
4-67-56-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Muchova K.
7-642-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[6]
6-46-0
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Raducanu E.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Gracheva V.
6-36-0
Kvitova P.[15]
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-67-611
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-32-66-4
Sakkari M.[7]
Pliskova K.[17]
6-45-76-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-44-67-5
Muchova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-46-726-4
Gauff C.[6]
Peterson R.
6-31-66-4
R32
Raducanu E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-12-66-4
Garcia C.[5]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-756-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
6-37-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kalinina A.[27]
3-66-26-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Ostapenko J.[24]
0-66-06-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreescu B.[32]
6-37-61
Krejcikova B.[16]
Wang X.
6-26-716-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.
W/O
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[23]
6-43-66-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-46-4
Cirstea S.
Pera B.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[26]
3-66-47-5
Gauff C.[6]
Noskova L.
6-46-3
Peterson R.
Teichmann J.
3-66-36-1
Pliskova K.[17]
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-17-5
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[4]
7-656-4
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Liu C.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[32]
Stearns P.
4-66-46-3
Cirstea S.
Keys M.[19]
6-1
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Siniakova K.
5-77-646-3
Pera B.
Samsonova L.[12]
2-67-687-66
Rybakina E.[10]
Kenin S.
7-667-65
Fernandez L.[30]
Navarro E.
6-26-4
Trevisan M.[23]
Brengle M.
5-76-16-2
Muchova K.
Azarenka V.[14]
7-616-3
Pliskova K.[17]
Kalinskaya A.
2-66-06-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Mandlik E.
6-17-5
Potapova A.[26]
Wang X.
4-67-646-2
Gauff C.[6]
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Noskova L.
Anisimova A.[31]
7-666-3
Teichmann J.
Bencic B.[9]
3-66-36-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Yastremska D.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rodina E.
6-26-0
Peterson R.
Zhang S.[22]
3-0
Pegula J.[3]
Giorgi C.
3-66-16-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sasnovich A.
7-53-66-2
Vondrousova M.
Bouzkova M.[28]
6-16-1
Kudermetova V.[11]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Gracheva V.
Martic P.[25]
6-36-2
Wang X.
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Kasatkina D.[8]
Maria T.
6-26-1
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.[29]
2-66-26-2
Jabeur O.[4]
Frech M.
4-66-46-1
Sakkari M.[7]
Rogers S.
2-66-46-0
Garcia C.[5]
Galfi D.
6-16-746-4
Kalinina A.[27]
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-47-5
Raducanu E.
Linette M.[20]
7-636-2
R128
Navarro E.
Mcnally C.
1-66-16-1
Vondrousova M.
Marino R.
6-26-2
Brengle M.
Siegemund L.
7-656-4
Rogers S.
Volynets K.
6-44-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Sherif M.
0-66-26-3
Kalinskaya A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Begu I.
7-676-1
Gracheva V.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-2
Galfi D.
Collins D.
6-46-4
Bucsa C.
Swan K.
7-667-5
Kenin S.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Liu C.
Schmiedlova A.
7-656-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
4-66-46-4
Raducanu E.
Kovinic D.
6-26-3
Pera B.
Bronzetti L.
7-54-66-3
Muchova K.
Putintseva Y.
6-34-66-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-5
Maria T.
Paolini J.
7-56-1
Sasnovich A.
Kanepi K.
6-37-65
Wang X.
Danilovic O.
4-66-26-3
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Teichmann J.
Krueger A.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Bondar A.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Mertens E.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Li A.
6-16-2
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Peterson R.
Kostyuk M.
7-55-77-5
Tsurenko L.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Rodina E.
Cornet A.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Niemeier J.
7-56-4
Frech M.
Zanevska M.
4-66-46-2
Mandlik E.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-35-77-61