Frances Tiafoe vs Cameron NorrieIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 6-4
Norrie C.
Tiafoe F.
662
Norrie C.
440

Frances Tiafoe defeated Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassCameron Norrie4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-6(4)
2021-01-04Delray BeachQFhardCameron Norrie6-0 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Norrie C.
38
Serve
45
37
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
89
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
57
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1789
5.1Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1829
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
7.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.9
Country comfort
5.9
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
94

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%