Karolina Muchova vs Marketa VondrousovaIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#120WTA
1907ELO
1826Hard ELO
$33kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Vondrousova M.
Muchova K.
66262
Vondrousova M.
47741

Karolina Muchova defeated Marketa Vondrousova 6-4 6-7 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Karolina Muchova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20TokyoR32hardKarolina Muchova6-2 1-0 RET
2025-10-13NingboR32hardKarolina Muchova6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Vondrousova M.

Vondrousova M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Vondrousova M.
70
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 113). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
91
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+208 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1826
7.3Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1907
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
51

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw