Adrian Mannarino vs Dominic ThiemIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
Mannarino A.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Thiem D.
Mannarino A.
46772
Thiem D.
64651

Adrian Mannarino defeated Dominic Thiem 4-6 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Dominic Thiem came in leading the head-to-head 8–1. Adrian Mannarino narrowed the head-to-head to 8–2.

Key context

Head to head

18
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-06-21MallorcaR16grassAdrian Mannarino2-5 RET
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardDominic Thiem6-3 7-5 6-2
2018-01-15Australian OpenR32hardDominic Thiem6-4 6-2 7-5
2017-08-28US OpenR32hardDominic Thiem7-5 6-3 6-4
2017-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardDominic Thiem7-6(4) 7-6(3)
2017-02-27AcapulcoR16hardDominic Thiem7-5 6-3
2016-05-16NiceSFclayDominic Thiem6-1 6-3
2015-11-02Paris MastersR64hardDominic Thiem6-2 5-7 6-2
2015-03-25Miami MastersR16hardDominic Thiem7-6(5) 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Thiem D.

Thiem D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Thiem D.
37
Serve
32
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
85
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
66
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.0
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%