Jason Kubler vs Lorenzo Sonego — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
AUS
Jason Kubler
#465ATP
1685ELO
1635Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
Lorenzo Sonego
#69ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Kubler J.
6-4 7-6
Sonego L.
Kubler J.
6772
Sonego L.
4640

Jason Kubler defeated Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Sonego came in ranked #69, defending last year's round of 64. Jason Kubler extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-02-01Murray River OpenR64hardJason Kubler3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kubler J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kubler J.Sonego L.
—
Serve
41
—
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kubler J.Sonego L.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.6
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kubler J.Sonego L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
69
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Even
46
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
37
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kubler J.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Sonego L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1635
Surface ELO
6.0+66 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1719
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
5.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kubler J.Sonego L.
Freshness·
—
76

Sonego L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[11]
Fritz T.[4]
6-44-66-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-37-5
Tiafoe F.[14]
Norrie C.[10]
6-46-4
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Draper J.
6-22-0
Medvedev D.[5]
Zverev A.[12]
6-757-657-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Garin C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[11]
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Paul T.[17]
3-66-37-66
Fritz T.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[14]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
R32
Draper J.
Murray A.
7-666-2
Fritz T.[4]
Baez S.[30]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[11]
Mannarino A.
7-676-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Ivashka I.
6-23-66-1
Zverev A.[12]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-51-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-31-66-4
Garin C.
Ruud C.[3]
6-47-62
Rublev A.[6]
Humbert U.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[10]
Daniel T.
6-757-56-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Griekspoor T.[31]
7-646-3
Paul T.[17]
Hurkacz H.[9]
4-66-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Molcan A.
6-46-2
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kubler J.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Thompson J.
6-37-66
Wawrinka S.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-757-5
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-56-4
R64
Hurkacz H.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-3
Molcan A.
Coric B.[18]
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Gasquet R.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.[19]
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Wu Y.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Nishioka Y.[29]
6-46-0
Rublev A.[6]
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Daniel T.
Berrettini M.[20]
7-650-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Wu T.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[14]
Giron M.
6-26-2
Tabilo A.
Cressy M.[32]
7-637-613
Thompson J.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-604-67-65
Ivashka I.
Van De Zandschulp B.[28]
7-53-2
Kubler J.
Dimitrov G.[21]
2-67-653-0
Draper J.
Evans D.[24]
6-46-2
Murray A.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.[31]
Pella G.
7-637-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Shelton B.
4-66-46-3
Baez S.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-36-1
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
7-686-4
Rune H.[7]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[12]
Cachin P.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Otte O.
6-36-3
Ruud C.[3]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Shapovalov D.[25]
7-56-4
Paul T.[17]
Struff J.
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[27]
Sock J.
4-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Martinez P.
7-656-4
R128
Kokkinakis T.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Draper J.
Riedi L.
6-16-1
Popyrin A.
Zhang Z.
6-45-76-1
Struff J.
Halys Q.
1-66-36-3
Molcan A.
Ramos A.
6-36-2
Fucsovics M.
Wolf J.
1-66-06-3
Mcdonald M.
Krajinovic F.
6-36-0
Nakashima B.
Isner J.
7-676-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lestienne C.
6-44-1
Cachin P.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-3
Otte O.
Djere L.
6-37-5
Thompson J.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.
Gojo B.
6-46-756-2
Kubler J.
Sonego L.
6-47-64
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.
6-756-16-4
Hijikata R.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Lehecka J.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-5
Martinez P.
Huesler M.
7-643-66-4
Wu T.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Pella G.
Monteiro T.
3-67-56-2
Shelton B.
Fognini F.
6-46-1
Mannarino A.
Thiem D.
4-66-47-65
Wawrinka S.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Ivashka I.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Wu Y.
Munar J.
6-766-07-63
Garin C.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Schwartzman D.
Coria F.
6-16-2
Humbert U.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-27-66
Daniel T.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Kovacevic A.
6-37-5
Tabilo A.
Marterer M.
6-46-3
Sock J.
Barrere G.
6-46-2