Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Karen KhachanovIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-3 1-6 6-4
Khachanov K.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6162
Khachanov K.
3641

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 1-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaQFclayKaren Khachanov6-4 7-5
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR64clayKaren Khachanov6-2 6-2
2020-11-02Paris MastersR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 2-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Khachanov K.
40
Serve
61
53
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
86
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
95
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+60 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1783
5.7Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1828
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
77

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%