Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Cristian GarinIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#125ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-3 6-4
Garin C.
Davidovich Fokina A.
662
Garin C.
340

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Cristian Garin 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09Rome MastersR64clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-7 4-6
2021-10-18AntwerpR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina4-6 6-3 6-3
2020-02-24SantiagoR16clayCristian Garin6-2 0-6 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Garin C.
40
Serve
53
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
95
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+270 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1572
7.5Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1667
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.2
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%