Gastao Elias vs Shintaro MochizukiPuerto Vallarta CH Round of 16

Puerto Vallarta CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#728ATP
1447ELO
1419Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Elias G.
6-3 2-6 7-6
Mochizuki S.
Elias G.
62772
Mochizuki S.
36651

Gastao Elias defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 2-6 7-6 in the Puerto Vallarta CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

  • Match story: Gastao Elias closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Elias G.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Elias G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
57
74
Break points won·Dominant
24
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1419
Surface ELO
5.3+6 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
2.2
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast