Nerman Fatic vs Damir DzumhurAntalya CH Round of 16

Antalya CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#396ATP
1496ELO
1478Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
clay
#108ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
Fatic N.
6-4 3-6 6-4
Dzumhur D.
Fatic N.
6362
Dzumhur D.
4641

Nerman Fatic defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the Antalya CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Damir Dzumhur came in ranked #108, but Nerman Fatic had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Nerman Fatic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fatic N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Fatic N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Fatic N.Dzumhur D.
Serve
0
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (143 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
70
Break points saved·Clear edge
63
87
Break points won·Dominant
36
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 98 days (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1478
Surface ELO
6.8+116 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1496
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1638
5.4No prior meetings
H2H
4.6
7.8
Surface form
8.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast