Taro Daniel vs Alexei PopyrinIndian Wells Masters Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#194ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Daniel T.
6-4 4-6 6-1
Popyrin A.
Daniel T.
6462
Popyrin A.
4611

Taro Daniel defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-4 4-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #103, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Daniel T.Popyrin A.
Serve
40
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
9.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 172). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
37
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
7.4+169 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
8.3
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.1
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
69
98

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%