Taro Daniel vs Matteo Berrettini — Indian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Matteo Berrettini
ITA20
Matteo Berrettini
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Daniel T.
7-6 0-6 6-3
Berrettini M.
Daniel T.
77062
Berrettini M.
65631

Taro Daniel defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 0-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Taro Daniel narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel closed it out in three sets, 7–6 0–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17NaplesQFhardMatteo Berrettini6-2 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayMatteo Berrettini6-0 6-4 4-6 6-4
2021-04-19BelgradeSFhardMatteo Berrettini6-1 6-7(5) 6-0
2018-04-30IstanbulR32clayTaro Daniel7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Daniel T.Berrettini M.
—
Serve
57
—
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Berrettini M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
9.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Berrettini M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Clear edge
37
53
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Berrettini M.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
9.0+285 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1831
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
8.3
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
5.1
Country comfort
4.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Berrettini M.
Freshness·Slight edge
67
73

Daniel T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[11]
Fritz T.[4]
6-44-66-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-37-5
Tiafoe F.[14]
Norrie C.[10]
6-46-4
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Draper J.
6-22-0
Medvedev D.[5]
Zverev A.[12]
6-757-657-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Garin C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[11]
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Paul T.[17]
3-66-37-66
Fritz T.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[14]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
R32
Draper J.
Murray A.
7-666-2
Fritz T.[4]
Baez S.[30]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[11]
Mannarino A.
7-676-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Ivashka I.
6-23-66-1
Zverev A.[12]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-51-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-31-66-4
Garin C.
Ruud C.[3]
6-47-62
Rublev A.[6]
Humbert U.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[10]
Daniel T.
6-757-56-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Griekspoor T.[31]
7-646-3
Paul T.[17]
Hurkacz H.[9]
4-66-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Molcan A.
6-46-2
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kubler J.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Thompson J.
6-37-66
Wawrinka S.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-757-5
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-56-4
R64
Hurkacz H.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-3
Molcan A.
Coric B.[18]
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Gasquet R.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.[19]
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Wu Y.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Nishioka Y.[29]
6-46-0
Rublev A.[6]
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Daniel T.
Berrettini M.[20]
7-650-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Wu T.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[14]
Giron M.
6-26-2
Tabilo A.
Cressy M.[32]
7-637-613
Thompson J.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-604-67-65
Ivashka I.
Van De Zandschulp B.[28]
7-53-2
Kubler J.
Dimitrov G.[21]
2-67-653-0
Draper J.
Evans D.[24]
6-46-2
Murray A.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.[31]
Pella G.
7-637-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Shelton B.
4-66-46-3
Baez S.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-36-1
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
7-686-4
Rune H.[7]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[12]
Cachin P.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Otte O.
6-36-3
Ruud C.[3]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Shapovalov D.[25]
7-56-4
Paul T.[17]
Struff J.
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[27]
Sock J.
4-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Martinez P.
7-656-4
R128
Kokkinakis T.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Draper J.
Riedi L.
6-16-1
Popyrin A.
Zhang Z.
6-45-76-1
Struff J.
Halys Q.
1-66-36-3
Molcan A.
Ramos A.
6-36-2
Fucsovics M.
Wolf J.
1-66-06-3
Mcdonald M.
Krajinovic F.
6-36-0
Nakashima B.
Isner J.
7-676-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lestienne C.
6-44-1
Cachin P.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-3
Otte O.
Djere L.
6-37-5
Thompson J.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.
Gojo B.
6-46-756-2
Kubler J.
Sonego L.
6-47-64
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.
6-756-16-4
Hijikata R.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Lehecka J.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-5
Martinez P.
Huesler M.
7-643-66-4
Wu T.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Pella G.
Monteiro T.
3-67-56-2
Shelton B.
Fognini F.
6-46-1
Mannarino A.
Thiem D.
4-66-47-65
Wawrinka S.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Ivashka I.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Wu Y.
Munar J.
6-766-07-63
Garin C.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Schwartzman D.
Coria F.
6-16-2
Humbert U.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-27-66
Daniel T.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Kovacevic A.
6-37-5
Tabilo A.
Marterer M.
6-46-3
Sock J.
Barrere G.
6-46-2