Taro Daniel vs Roberto Carballes Baena — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Taro Daniel
JPN
Taro Daniel
#203ATP
1567ELO
1512Hard ELO
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Daniel T.
6-1 7-5
Carballes Baena R.
Daniel T.
672
Carballes Baena R.
150

Taro Daniel defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-1 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roberto Carballes Baena came in ranked #163, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 128. Taro Daniel narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Taro Daniel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-24UmagR16clayRoberto Carballes Baena6-3 6-1
2019-02-11Buenos AiresR32clayRoberto Carballes Baena6-1 6-0
2018-07-23GstaadR16clayTaro Daniel6-4 4-6 7-6(4)
2016-02-22Sao PauloR32clayRoberto Carballes Baena6-2 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Daniel T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Daniel T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Daniel T.Carballes Baena R.
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 189). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Daniel T.Carballes Baena R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
61
Break points saved·Even
93
93
Break points won·Clear edge
37
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Daniel T.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Carballes Baena R.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1512
Surface ELO
6.4+80 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1632
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
1.8
Minutes 14d
8.5
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.1
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Daniel T.Carballes Baena R.
Freshness·Dominant
72
100

Daniel T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Medvedev D.[5]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-4
Sinner J.[11]
Fritz T.[4]
6-44-66-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-37-5
Tiafoe F.[14]
Norrie C.[10]
6-46-4
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Draper J.
6-22-0
Medvedev D.[5]
Zverev A.[12]
6-757-657-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Garin C.
6-36-4
Norrie C.[10]
Rublev A.[6]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[11]
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Paul T.[17]
3-66-37-66
Fritz T.[4]
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[14]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
R32
Draper J.
Murray A.
7-666-2
Fritz T.[4]
Baez S.[30]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[11]
Mannarino A.
7-676-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Ivashka I.
6-23-66-1
Zverev A.[12]
Ruusuvuori E.
7-51-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-31-66-4
Garin C.
Ruud C.[3]
6-47-62
Rublev A.[6]
Humbert U.
7-56-3
Norrie C.[10]
Daniel T.
6-757-56-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Griekspoor T.[31]
7-646-3
Paul T.[17]
Hurkacz H.[9]
4-66-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Molcan A.
6-46-2
Tiafoe F.[14]
Kubler J.
6-36-2
Tabilo A.
Thompson J.
6-37-66
Wawrinka S.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-757-5
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Cerundolo F.[27]
7-56-4
R64
Hurkacz H.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-3
Molcan A.
Coric B.[18]
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-46-2
Sinner J.[11]
Gasquet R.
6-37-62
Mannarino A.
Musetti L.[19]
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Bautista Agut R.[22]
7-656-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
Wu Y.
6-46-1
Garin C.
Nishioka Y.[29]
6-46-0
Rublev A.[6]
Lehecka J.
6-46-2
Daniel T.
Berrettini M.[20]
7-650-66-3
Norrie C.[10]
Wu T.
6-26-4
Tiafoe F.[14]
Giron M.
6-26-2
Tabilo A.
Cressy M.[32]
7-637-613
Thompson J.
Tsitsipas S.[2]
7-604-67-65
Ivashka I.
Van De Zandschulp B.[28]
7-53-2
Kubler J.
Dimitrov G.[21]
2-67-653-0
Draper J.
Evans D.[24]
6-46-2
Murray A.
Albot R.
6-46-3
Griekspoor T.[31]
Pella G.
7-637-64
Alcaraz C.[1]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-3
Fritz T.[4]
Shelton B.
4-66-46-3
Baez S.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-36-1
Wawrinka S.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
7-686-4
Rune H.[7]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Nakashima B.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[12]
Cachin P.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Otte O.
6-36-3
Ruud C.[3]
Schwartzman D.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Shapovalov D.[25]
7-56-4
Paul T.[17]
Struff J.
6-36-3
Cerundolo F.[27]
Sock J.
4-66-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Martinez P.
7-656-4
R128
Kokkinakis T.
Holt B.
6-46-1
Draper J.
Riedi L.
6-16-1
Popyrin A.
Zhang Z.
6-45-76-1
Struff J.
Halys Q.
1-66-36-3
Molcan A.
Ramos A.
6-36-2
Fucsovics M.
Wolf J.
1-66-06-3
Mcdonald M.
Krajinovic F.
6-36-0
Nakashima B.
Isner J.
7-676-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lestienne C.
6-44-1
Cachin P.
Basilashvili N.
7-56-3
Otte O.
Djere L.
6-37-5
Thompson J.
Monfils G.
6-36-1
Gasquet R.
Gojo B.
6-46-756-2
Kubler J.
Sonego L.
6-47-64
Murray A.
Etcheverry T.
6-756-16-4
Hijikata R.
Ymer M.
6-47-5
Lehecka J.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-5
Martinez P.
Huesler M.
7-643-66-4
Wu T.
Bublik A.
6-46-4
Pella G.
Monteiro T.
3-67-56-2
Shelton B.
Fognini F.
6-46-1
Mannarino A.
Thiem D.
4-66-47-65
Wawrinka S.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-1
Ivashka I.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Wu Y.
Munar J.
6-766-07-63
Garin C.
Galan D.
6-46-2
Schwartzman D.
Coria F.
6-16-2
Humbert U.
Zapata Miralles B.
6-27-66
Daniel T.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Giron M.
Kovacevic A.
6-37-5
Tabilo A.
Marterer M.
6-46-3
Sock J.
Barrere G.
6-46-2