Katie Volynets vs Peyton StearnsAustin Quarter-final

Austin · WTA · Quarter-final
#93WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#60WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Volynets K.
7-5 6-3
Stearns P.
Volynets K.
762
Stearns P.
530

Katie Volynets defeated Peyton Stearns 7-5 6-3 in the Austin quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Peyton Stearns came in ranked #60. Katie Volynets extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR128hardKatie Volynets6-4 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Volynets K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Volynets K.Stearns P.
8
Serve
34
49
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
90
Break points won·Even
97
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 189 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.4+19 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1804
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
97

Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d) · Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast