Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo SonegoDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#83ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$435kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWL
Zverev A.
7-5 6-4
Sonego L.
Zverev A.
762
Sonego L.
540

Alexander Zverev defeated Lorenzo Sonego 7-5 6-4 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 6–0.

Key context

Head to head

50
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Zverev3-6 6-4 7-6(2)
2024-06-17HalleR16grassAlexander Zverev6-4 7-6(5)
2024-01-01United CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Sonego L.

Sonego L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Sonego L.
71
Serve
41
42
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
69
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
90
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
71
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+340 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1702
9.2Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1719
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
39
79

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d) · Sonego L.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%