Holger Rune vs Ben SheltonAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
Rune H.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Shelton B.
Rune H.
67662
Shelton B.
79421

Holger Rune defeated Ben Shelton 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Shelton B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Shelton B.
47
Serve
75
58
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
9.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
86
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
84
58
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
7.2+197 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1960
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Shelton B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%