Alex Michelsen vs Aleksandar VukicWaco CH Quarter-final

Waco CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#113ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWL
Michelsen A.
6-4 6-4
Vukic A.
Michelsen A.
662
Vukic A.
440

Alex Michelsen defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-4 in the Waco CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alex Michelsen extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Michelsen edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatyR16hardAlex Michelsen6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Vukic A.
34
Serve
22
46
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
59
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
46
16
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+213 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1597
7.7Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1630
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
4.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
3.2
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
65

Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Vukic A.: played today · 2 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast