Alexandre Muller vs Alex MichelsenWaco CH Semi-final

Waco CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#132ATP
1665ELO
1630Hard ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Muller A.
6-3 6-0
Michelsen A.
Muller A.
662
Michelsen A.
300

Alexandre Muller defeated Alex Michelsen 6-3 6-0 in the Waco CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Michelsen came in ranked #46, but Alexandre Muller had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Muller A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muller A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muller A.Michelsen A.
11
Serve
34
13
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
78
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Even
44
46
Deciding sets·Even
95
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
7.0+180 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1825
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.7
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
5.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
70

Muller A.: 15 days rest · Michelsen A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast