Tommy Paul vs Mackenzie McdonaldAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Paul T.
6-2 6-2
Mcdonald M.
Paul T.
662
Mcdonald M.
220

Tommy Paul defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-2 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16TokyoR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-2
2020-02-24AcapulcoR32hardTommy Paul6-7(4) 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Mcdonald M.
71
Serve
25
54
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
87
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+277 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1604
8.6Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
5.8
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 57%