Pavel Kotov vs Roman Safiullin — Dubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · ATP · Qualifying Round 1

RUS

Pavel Kotov

#246ATP

1597ELO

1601Hard ELO

27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLLWLWL

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 27 February 2023

hard

RUS6

Roman Safiullin

#96ATP

1750ELO

1704Hard ELO

$199kYTD

$4.3MCAREER

28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWLWW

Kotov P.

5-7 6-2 6-4

Safiullin R.

Kotov P.

5662

Safiullin R.

7241

Pavel Kotov defeated Roman Safiullin 5-7 6-2 6-4 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #96.

Key context

Match story: Pavel Kotov dropped the opening set before beating Roman Safiullin 5–7 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Kotov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve advantage — Safiullin R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Kotov P.Safiullin R.

1st serve in·Even

65%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

71%

72%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

52%

Service points won·Even

63%

65%

Return points won·Even

37%

38%

Break points saved·Even

63%

62%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.5

6.2

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.8

3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 181). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Kotov P.Safiullin R.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Even

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kotov P.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Safiullin R.

7.0

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.9Hard Elo 1601

Surface ELO

6.1+103 Hard Elo edge

3.5Overall Elo 1597

ELO gap

6.5Overall Elo 1750

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

3.1

Surface form

5.8

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

6.8

Minutes 14d

6.5

4.0

3-set count

4.0

8.0

Prev. match

9.0

Context

6.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.