Pavel Kotov vs Alexei PopyrinDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Kotov P.
6-3 5-7 7-6
Popyrin A.
Kotov P.
65772
Popyrin A.
37631

Pavel Kotov defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3 5-7 7-6 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #103, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Pavel Kotov closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotov P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kotov P.Popyrin A.
Serve
41
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
9.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
59
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Slight edge
13
6
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1601
Surface ELO
5.6+80 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
6.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%