Hubert Hurkacz vs Pavel KotovDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Hurkacz H.
7-5 6-1
Kotov P.
Hurkacz H.
762
Kotov P.
510

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Pavel Kotov 7-5 6-1 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #68, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Kotov P.
67
Serve
0
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
13.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (174 vs 182). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Dominant
40
13
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1601
7.1Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
3.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.0
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Hurkacz H.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%