Varvara Gracheva vs Sloane StephensAustin Quarter-final

Austin · WTA · Quarter-final
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#315WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
Gracheva V.
7-6 6-3
Stephens S.
Gracheva V.
7762
Stephens S.
6430

Varvara Gracheva defeated Sloane Stephens 7-6 6-3 in the Austin quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in ranked #95. Varvara Gracheva narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR64claySloane Stephens6-2 6-1
2023-02-20MeridaR16hardSloane Stephens5-7 6-2 7-6(5)
2021-02-13Phillip Island TrophyR64hardVarvara Gracheva6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stephens S.

Stephens S.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Stephens S.
3
Serve
27
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
63
Break points saved·Even
76
78
Break points won·Even
87
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
55
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
65
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1630
6.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1683
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.5
Surface form
4.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast