Daniil Medvedev vs Novak DjokovicDubai Semi-final

Dubai · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#7ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-4
Djokovic N.
Medvedev D.
662
Djokovic N.
440

Daniil Medvedev defeated Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-4 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 10–4, defending last year's quarter-final, but Daniil Medvedev had arrived on a 9-match winning run. Daniil Medvedev narrowed the head-to-head to 10–5.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniil Medvedev edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

410
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 7-6(5) 6-3
2023-01-02Adelaide 1SFhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(2)
2022-10-03AstanaSFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 7-6(6) 0-0 RET
2021-11-01Paris MastersFhardNovak Djokovic4-6 6-3 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-4 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenFhardNovak Djokovic7-5 6-2 6-2
2020-11-16Tour FinalsRRhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-3
2020-01-06Atp CupSFhardNovak Djokovic6-1 5-7 6-4
2019-08-12Cincinnati MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-3 6-3
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersQFclayDaniil Medvedev6-3 4-6 6-2
2019-01-14Australian OpenR16hardNovak Djokovic6-4 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3
2017-06-26EastbourneSFgrassNovak Djokovic6-4 6-4
2017-02-03Davis Cup WG R1: RUS vs SRBRRhardNovak Djokovic3-6 6-4 6-1 1-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Djokovic N.
47
Serve
68
94
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Even
7.6
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
99
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1962
Surface ELO
5.7+59 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
10.0
Surface form
10.0
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
10.020-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
87
55

Medvedev D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%