Danielle Collins vs Caty McnallyAustin Round of 16

Austin · WTA · Round of 16
#343WTA
1844ELO
1772Hard ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Collins D.
6-1 6-1
Mcnally C.
Collins D.
662
Mcnally C.
110

Danielle Collins defeated Caty Mcnally 6-1 6-1 in the Austin round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #50.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collins D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collins D.Mcnally C.
Serve
26
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 111). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
73
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1731
5.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
4.5
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Mcnally C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast