Dusan Lajovic vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#152ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Lajovic D.
6-1 6-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Lajovic D.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
130

Dusan Lajovic defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-3 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, but Dusan Lajovic had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Dusan Lajovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13Buenos AiresR16clayDusan Lajovic6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Lajovic D.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Lajovic D.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (195 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Dominant
36
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
61
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1588
Surface ELO
6.8+153 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1759
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.1
Surface form
7.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Lajovic D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 17%