Barbora Krejcikova vs Jessica PegulaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#38WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Krejcikova B.
6-1 5-7 6-0
Pegula J.
Krejcikova B.
6562
Pegula J.
1701

Barbora Krejcikova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 5-7 6-0 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Barbora Krejcikova narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardJessica Pegula6-3 6-3
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardBarbora Krejcikova6-3 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Krejcikova B.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krejcikova B.Pegula J.
39
Serve
68
57
Return
73

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (119 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
96
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.9Hard Elo 1820
Surface ELO
8.1+239 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1874
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 2097
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
7.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
6.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
72

Krejcikova B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Semi-finals
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.[3]
6-15-76-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Gauff C.[5]
6-46-2