Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Adrian MannarinoMonterrey CH Round of 32

Monterrey CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Kovacevic A.
7-5 7-6
Mannarino A.
Kovacevic A.
7772
Mannarino A.
5640

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-5 7-6 in the Monterrey CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Mannarino A.
52
Serve
37
0
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
65
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
60
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
5.5+36 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
3.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
80

Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest · Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast