Frances Tiafoe vs Mackenzie McdonaldDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 February 2023
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Tiafoe F.
6-1 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Tiafoe F.
662
Mcdonald M.
130

Frances Tiafoe defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-3 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-02-25AcapulcoR16hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-7(7) 7-5 6-3
2018-04-09HoustonR32clayFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Mcdonald M.
38
Serve
25
37
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Slight edge
57
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+257 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1604
8.1Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
91

Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast