Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolas Alvarez VaronaTenerife 2 CH Semi-final

Tenerife 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 January 2023
hard
#481ATP
1353ELO
1382Hard ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Arnaldi M.
6-3 6-4
Alvarez Varona N.
Arnaldi M.
662
Alvarez Varona N.
340

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-3 6-4 in the Tenerife 2 CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Alvarez Varona N.

Alvarez Varona N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Alvarez Varona N.
23
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
5
Break points saved·Dominant
97
40
Break points won·Dominant
51
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
8.9+350 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1382
10.0Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1353
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
5.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Arnaldi M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast